Terms of Service

Last updated 22 August 2026

1. Who we are, and what this agreement is

These Terms of Service (the “Terms”) are a binding agreement between you and Ethan Lee, an individual doing business as “Qellys Book” (“we”, “us”), operator of qellysbook.com and the software served from it (the “Service”).

By creating an account, subscribing, or using the Service, you accept these Terms and our Privacy Policy. If you do not accept them, do not use the Service.

2. What the Service is — and what it is not

Qellys Book publishes statistical models and analysis about sports and other public markets. It is an information and analytics tool, sold as a software subscription.

We do not take bets. We do not accept wagers. Specifically, and without qualification:

  • no bet, wager or stake of any kind is placed on this Service;
  • we never hold, receive, transmit or escrow money on your behalf. There is no wallet, no balance, no deposit and no withdrawal;
  • we do not set, quote or make a market in odds, and we take no position on either side of any outcome;
  • we pay out nothing on the result of any event. The only money that ever moves between us is your subscription fee;
  • we are not a sportsbook, casino, exchange, prediction market, broker, dealer, investment adviser or money transmitter, and we do not act as agent for any of them.

If you choose to bet or trade, you do it elsewhere, with your own money, on your own account, at your own risk, and subject to whatever laws apply where you are.

3. No advice, and no guarantee

Every number on this Service is an estimate of a probability. It is not a prediction, not a recommendation to transact, and not financial, investment, tax, legal or betting advice. Nothing here is an offer or solicitation to buy or sell anything.

Models are wrong regularly. Ours is wrong regularly. That is why every pick is recorded at the price we found it and graded in public on the Record page — so you can check for yourself whether it is winning or losing rather than taking our word for it. We do not guarantee any outcome, any profit, or any level of accuracy, and you should be suspicious of anyone — including us — who claims otherwise.

Past results, including anything shown on the Record page, do not predict future results. You are solely responsible for your own decisions and your own money.

4. Eligibility, age and location

You must be at least 21 years old and legally able to enter into this agreement to hold an account. The Service is intended for users in the United States; if you access it from elsewhere you do so on your own initiative and are responsible for local law.

Gambling law differs by state and by country, and some jurisdictions restrict even informational services about it. Determining what is lawful where you are is your responsibility, not ours.

Never bet money you cannot afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, free confidential help is available 24/7 in the US: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or visit ncpgambling.org. If you would like your account closed for this reason, say so and we will close it — no questions and no retention offer.

5. Subscriptions, billing, renewal and refunds

5.1 Plans and prices

Every plan is the same product — the only difference is how long you commit for. Prices are in US dollars and include any applicable sales tax:

  • $25, billed every month;
  • $125, billed every 6 months;
  • $225, billed every year.

5.2 Automatic renewal — read this part

Your subscription renews automatically at the same price and on the same cycle, and your payment method is charged each time, until you cancel. The price you signed up at is the price you keep for as long as the subscription runs without interruption; if we change our prices, existing subscriptions are not repriced. If we ever do need to change the price of a running subscription, we will give you at least 30 days’ notice by email and you may cancel before it takes effect.

5.3 Free trial

We offer a 3-day free trial on the $25 monthly plan only. The 6-month and yearly plans have no trial. One trial per account — if you have subscribed before, you are not eligible for another, and the checkout will not offer one.

A payment method is required to start the trial, and it is charged automatically when the trial ends. We state that here in full rather than in a footnote, because it is the part these offers usually bury:

  • You enter a card on Stripe’s page when you start the trial. Nothing is charged that day.
  • The trial runs for 3 days.
  • On day 4 the subscription begins and your card is charged $25, and every month after that until you cancel.
  • Cancel at any point during the 3 days and you are charged nothing at all. Cancelling takes one button on your account page — the same button described in §5.4, with nothing extra to do and nobody to ask.

Access during the trial is the full subscription: there is no reduced version of the product. If you cancel during the trial your access ends when the trial does.

5.4 Cancelling

You can cancel at any time, from the Manage billing button on your account page, which opens Stripe’s own customer portal. Cancelling stops all future charges immediately. Access continues to the end of the period you have already paid for — cancelling a yearly plan in month two does not cut you off in month two.

We do not require you to call, email or explain anything to cancel, and we will never make cancelling harder than subscribing was.

5.5 Refunds

Payments are not refundable. Cancelling stops the next charge and you keep access to the end of the period you have already paid for — so nothing you have paid for is taken away — but money already paid stays paid.

We say that plainly rather than burying it, because the honest consequence is worth stating too: do not subscribe until you are convinced. The Record page is free and always will be, every pick is graded on it in public, and it is there precisely so you can decide before paying rather than after. If you are unsure, start on the monthly plan — it is the smallest commitment we offer.

Two things we will always do:

  • Refund a charge made in error — a double charge, a charge after you cancelled, a charge on an account that was never used.
  • Refund the unused part of a term if we terminate your account without your having breached these Terms, or if we remove something substantial you were paying for (§10).

Beyond that we may still issue a refund at our discretion, and asking costs nothing. Nothing in this section limits any refund right you have under the law where you live.

5.6 How payment works

Payments are processed by Stripe, Inc. Card details are entered on Stripe’s own page and never reach our servers — we hold a Stripe customer reference and whether your subscription is active, and nothing else about your payment method. Your use of Stripe’s checkout is also subject to Stripe’s terms.

We are the seller of record. Stripe processes the payment; the subscription is with us, so anything about the Service, your access or a refund is ours to answer, not theirs.

5.7 Failed payments

If a renewal charge fails, we do not cut you off on the first failure — a card that fails to renew is usually an expiry date rather than a decision. Access continues to the end of the period you have paid for while Stripe retries. If it is not resolved by then, access ends until payment succeeds.

5.8 The members’ Discord

An active subscription includes access to our Discord server. The invite appears on your account page and is for you — please do not republish it. Access ends when your subscription does.

Discord is a third party. Your use of it is governed by Discord’s own terms and community guidelines, not ours, and we do not control that platform or its availability. Conduct in the server is subject to §7 as well: the same account can be removed from the server, from the Service, or from both.

Nothing posted in the Discord — by us or by anyone else — is advice, and §3 applies to it in full.

5.9 Discount codes

Where we issue a code, it grants full access directly for a stated number of months. A code involves no card and creates no subscription, so there is nothing to cancel and nothing renews when it runs out. Codes are single-use per account, may have a total usage limit, and may be withdrawn at any time before redemption. Codes have no cash value and are not refundable or transferable.

6. Your account

Keep your password to yourself; anything done through your account is treated as done by you. Tell us promptly if you believe somebody else has access to it.

One person per account. Accounts are personal and may not be shared, sold, transferred or used by more than one individual. We may suspend an account that is clearly being shared.

You can delete your account, and everything attached to it, from the account panel at any time. Deleting an account does not automatically cancel a subscription — cancel that first, or you will keep being charged for something you can no longer reach.

7. Acceptable use

You may not:

  • scrape, crawl, bulk-download or systematically extract content from the Service;
  • resell, republish, redistribute, sublicense or share the paid content, whether free or for money — including reposting picks to a group chat, forum, Discord or social account;
  • use the Service to build or train a competing product, model or dataset;
  • attempt to gain unauthorised access to the Service, its accounts, or its infrastructure, or probe or test its security without our written permission;
  • circumvent, disable or interfere with any access control, paywall, rate limit or usage restriction;
  • automate access in a way that degrades the Service for other people;
  • use the Service for anything unlawful, or in any jurisdiction where doing so would be unlawful.

We may suspend or terminate an account for any of the above, without refund where the breach is deliberate.

8. Intellectual property, and what you may do with the content

The Service, its models, its interface, its written analysis and its outputs are owned by us or our licensors and are protected by copyright and other laws. We grant you a limited, personal, non-exclusive, non-transferable, revocable licence to access and use the Service for your own personal, non-commercial use while your subscription is active.

You may use what you read here to make your own decisions. You may not redistribute it. Underlying facts — scores, schedules, publicly quoted odds — are not ours and we claim nothing in them.

Anything you submit (a bet log, a note, feedback) stays yours. You grant us a licence to store and process it solely to operate the Service for you. If you send us feedback or a suggestion, we may use it without obligation to you.

9. Third-party data and services

Scores, schedules, prices, statistics and market data come from third parties. They are sometimes wrong, late or unavailable, and when a feed is missing the Service says so rather than filling the gap with a guess. We cannot guarantee that any of it is accurate, complete or available, and we are not responsible for errors originating with a data provider.

Team, league and sportsbook names are the trademarks of their owners and are used descriptively. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by any league, team, sportsbook, prediction market or exchange.

Where the Service links to or connects with a third party — Stripe for payment, Yahoo if you connect a fantasy league — your use of that service is governed by their terms, not ours.

10. Availability, and changes to the Service

This is a small operation. The Service may be unavailable for maintenance, for a failure at a data provider, or for reasons outside our control. We do not offer an uptime guarantee, and we will not pretend to one we cannot back.

We may add, change or remove features. If we remove something substantial that you are paying for, you may cancel and we will refund the unused portion of the term you have paid for.

11. Disclaimer of warranties

To the fullest extent permitted by law, the Service is provided “as is” and “as available”, without warranty of any kind, express or implied — including any implied warranty of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, non-infringement, accuracy, or uninterrupted or error-free operation.

Some jurisdictions do not allow the exclusion of certain warranties, so parts of this section may not apply to you.

12. Limitation of liability

To the fullest extent permitted by law:

  • We are not liable for any betting, gambling, trading or investment loss, however it arises, including losses incurred after reading anything published here;
  • we are not liable for indirect, incidental, special, consequential, exemplary or punitive damages, or for lost profits, lost opportunity, or loss of data, even if we were told such damages were possible;
  • our total aggregate liability arising out of or relating to the Service, on any theory of liability, is limited to the amount you actually paid us in the twelve months before the event giving rise to the claim.

These limits apply even if a limited remedy fails of its essential purpose. Some jurisdictions do not allow certain limitations, so parts of this section may not apply to you.

13. Indemnity

You agree to indemnify and hold us harmless from any claim, loss or expense (including reasonable legal fees) arising from your use of the Service, your breach of these Terms, or your violation of any law or third-party right.

14. Suspension and termination

You may stop using the Service at any time by cancelling and, if you wish, deleting your account.

We may suspend or terminate your access for breach of these Terms, for non-payment, or where we are required to by law. Where we terminate an account that has not breached these Terms, we will refund the unused portion of the term you have paid for.

Sections 2, 3, 8, 11, 12, 13 and 16 survive termination.

15. Changes to these Terms

We may update these Terms. If a change materially affects your rights, we will give notice on the Service and by email to the address on your account at least 30 days before it takes effect, and continuing to use the Service after that means you accept it. We will not quietly change the date and hope you do not notice.

16. Governing law and disputes

These Terms are governed by the laws of the State of Michigan, United States, without regard to its conflict-of-laws rules.

Try us first. Before starting any formal proceeding, email us a description of the dispute and give us 30 days to resolve it. Most things are a misunderstanding and a refund.

16.1 Binding arbitration

If we cannot resolve a dispute in those 30 days, you and we agree that it will be settled by binding individual arbitration rather than in court, except as stated below. This is drafted to ordinary practice for US consumer software and it takes away rights you would otherwise have, so it is set out in full rather than folded into a paragraph.

  • What it covers. Any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to these Terms, the Service, or your subscription — including how it was advertised, charged or cancelled, and including claims that arose before you agreed to these Terms.
  • Who runs it. The American Arbitration Association, under its Consumer Arbitration Rules, which are published at adr.org. A single arbitrator decides. The arbitrator may award the same individual relief a court could.
  • Where. By written submission or telephone unless the arbitrator decides an in-person hearing is needed, in which case it will be held in the county where you live, or somewhere else we both agree.
  • Who pays. Where the AAA Consumer Rules require us to pay the filing and arbitrator fees, we will. If your claim is for $10,000 or less, we will pay those fees regardless, unless the arbitrator finds the claim was frivolous.
  • Individually, not as a class. You and we each waive the right to bring or take part in a class, collective, consolidated or representative action, and the arbitrator may not consolidate more than one person’s claims. If this sentence is held unenforceable as to a particular claim, that claim — and only that claim — leaves arbitration and goes to court.

16.2 What is not covered

  • Small claims. Either of us may bring an individual claim in small-claims court instead, if it qualifies.
  • Injunctions over intellectual property. Either of us may ask a court for an injunction over misuse of intellectual property without going through arbitration first.
  • Anything a law says cannot be arbitrated. Nothing here waives a right that cannot lawfully be waived, and nothing here prevents you from reporting a concern to a government agency.

16.3 You can opt out, and it costs nothing

You have 30 days from the day you first accept these Terms to opt out of §16.1 and §16.2 entirely. Email us — the address is in §18 — with your account email and the words “arbitration opt-out”. That is the whole procedure. Opting out has no effect on your subscription, your price, or anything else about your account, and we will not treat you differently for it. If you opt out, disputes go to the Michigan courts named below.

If we ever change §16, the change does not apply to any dispute we already knew about, and you may reject the change by emailing us within 30 days of it being posted.

16.4 Courts

Where §16.1 does not apply — because you opted out, because the claim is excluded by §16.2, or because a court holds the clause unenforceable — any dispute will be brought in the state or federal courts located in Michigan, and both parties consent to that jurisdiction and venue.

17. General

These Terms and the Privacy Policy are the entire agreement between us about the Service, and they replace anything said before them.

Severability. If any provision is held unenforceable, it is limited or removed to the minimum extent necessary and the rest stays in force.

No waiver. Our failure to enforce a provision is not a waiver of it, and a waiver given once does not apply the next time.

Assignment. You may not assign this agreement or your account. We may assign it to a successor in a merger, acquisition or sale of the business; your subscription terms travel with it unchanged, and if we change the price afterwards §5.2 still applies.

Notices, and how we contact you. You agree that we may give you notices electronically — by email to the address on your account, or by posting them in the Service. Keep that address current; a notice sent to a dead address still counts as given. Notices to us go to the address in §18.

Events outside our control. Neither of us is liable for a failure to perform caused by something genuinely outside our control — an outage at a provider we depend on, a network failure, a natural disaster, a change in the law. This does not excuse us from refunding money owed, and it does not extend to us simply choosing to stop.

Feedback. If you send us an idea or a suggestion, we may use it without owing you anything for it. We are not asking you to send confidential information and you should not.

Copyright complaints. If you believe something on this Service infringes your copyright, email us at the address in §18 with enough detail to identify the work and where it appears, and a statement that you have a good-faith belief the use is not authorised. We will look at it and remove anything that should not be there.

Language and headings. These Terms are written in English; headings are for reading convenience and do not change the meaning of what follows them.

No third-party beneficiaries. This agreement is between you and us. It gives nobody else the right to enforce it.

18. Contact

Questions about these Terms, notices under §17, a copyright complaint under §17, or the “try us first” step in §16 all go to the same place:

Email: support@qellysbook.com

Operator: Ethan Lee, sole proprietor, trading as Qellys Book. [Postal address to be added.]

We answer email. If you have written to us about a dispute and had no reply within 30 days, §16.1 treats that as the 30 days having run.

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